Report by Paula Antolini, September 5, 2019. 6:51PM EDT
Weather Summary for the Local Tri-State Region
National Weather Service New York NY, 412 PM EDT Thu Sep 5 2019
High pressure will settle just north of the region tonight providing dry conditions. With more cloud cover across southern sections temperatures overnight will only fall mainly into the lower 60s, with cooler 50s further north due to less cloud cover overall.
On Friday as Tropical Cyclone Dorian moves northeast and off the Mid Atlantic coast, cloud cover will increase across the region. The chances for rain will increase from south to north, especially late in the day and into the evening.
The best chance for rainfall will be across far eastern sections late in the day on Friday into Friday night. Any impacts from Dorian will be confined to coastal sections of the Atlantic coast line with dangerous rip currents, high surf, and the potential for minor coastal flooding.
By Saturday morning skies will clear as Dorian moves well north and northeast of the region. A northwest wind will diminish throughout the day with partial sunshine developing. Temperatures are expected to average slightly below normal through the weekend.
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Tropical Weather Outlook
NWS National Hurricane Center Miami FL, 2:00 PM EDT Thu. Sept. 5, 2019
For the North Atlantic…Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of Mexico:
The National Hurricane Center is issuing advisories on Hurricane Dorian, located just east of Charleston, South Carolina, and on Tropical Storm Gabrielle, located nearly 1000 miles northwest of the Cabo Verde Islands.
A small area of low pressure located a few hundred miles northeast of Bermuda is producing limited showers and thunderstorms, well to the southeast of the center. This system has become poorly defined and significant development is not anticipated.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.
An area of disturbed weather located several hundred miles east of the Leeward Islands is associated with a tropical wave. Only slow development of this disturbance, if any, is expected during the next
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…10 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…low…10 percent.
A broad area of low pressure associated with a tropical wave located about 100 miles east of the Cabo Verde Islands continues to produce disorganized showers and thunderstorms. Gradual development of this system is possible and a tropical depression could form while it moves westward across the tropical Atlantic Ocean through early next week. Enhanced rainfall is possible across the Cabo Verde Islands through early Friday as the disturbance moves through the region.
* Formation chance through 48 hours…low…20 percent.
* Formation chance through 5 days…medium…60 percent.
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Detailed Forecast
Tonight
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 53. Calm wind.
Friday
A 30 percent chance of rain, mainly after 3pm. Mostly cloudy, with a high near 70. East wind 6 to 10 mph.
Friday Night
A 40 percent chance of rain. Cloudy, with a low around 54. Northeast wind around 11 mph.
Saturday
A slight chance of rain before 10am, then a slight chance of showers after 10am. Partly sunny, with a high near 73. North wind 9 to 11 mph. Chance of precipitation is 20%.
Saturday Night
Mostly clear, with a low around 54. West wind around 7 mph.
Sunday
Sunny, with a high near 71.
Sunday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 51.
Monday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 71.
Monday Night
Partly cloudy, with a low around 52.
Tuesday
Mostly sunny, with a high near 72.
Tuesday Night
Mostly cloudy, with a low around 56.
Wednesday
A 50 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 73.
Wednesday Night
A 30 percent chance of showers. Mostly cloudy, with a low around 57.
Thursday
A 40 percent chance of showers. Partly sunny, with a high near 71.
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