Memphis, TN – Thanksgiving 2025 could be an outdoor-friendly holiday in Memphis, as forecasts indicate warmer temperatures and mostly dry skies compared to previous years. This follows a mild fall season across the Mid-South, continuing into the holiday week.
Thanksgiving Week Weather Outlook
Forecasters from AccuWeather, the National Weather Service (NWS), and The Old Farmer’s Almanac all project a warmer-than-average Thanksgiving week for the Southeast and Mid-South.
Key Forecasts:
- Wednesday, November 26: Low of 47°F, high of 64°F, with a 2% chance of rain and partly sunny skies.
- Thanksgiving Day, November 27: Low of 39°F, high of 55°F, sunny skies with a 0% chance of rain.
- Black Friday, November 28: Low of 36°F, high of 57°F, partly sunny with 0% chance of rain.
- Saturday, November 30: Low of 41°F, high of 59°F, cloudy skies with a 25% chance of rain.
The Deep South is expected to experience a sunny and warmer-than-normal week, while temperatures across Tennessee are forecast to remain mild for the season, giving residents the perfect conditions for outdoor gatherings or holiday activities.
Comparison to Past Thanksgivings
Historical data shows that recent Thanksgiving days in Memphis have had varied temperatures and precipitation:
- 2024 (Nov. 28): High of 51°F, low of 38°F, no rainfall.
- 2023 (Nov. 23): High of 59°F, low of 39°F, no rainfall.
- 2022 (Nov. 24): High of 59°F, low of 48°F, 0.25 inches of rain.
- 2021 (Nov. 25): High of 58°F, low of 37°F, 0.46 inches of rain.
- 2020 (Nov. 26): High of 61°F, low of 37°F, no rainfall.
Overall, this year’s Thanksgiving temperatures are expected to be slightly warmer than average, with minimal chances of rain, making it one of the more pleasant holiday periods in recent years.
Travel and Outdoor Activity Considerations
With sunny skies and mild temperatures, travelers and families planning outdoor Thanksgiving meals, parades, or walks should have favorable conditions. Residents are encouraged to check forecasts closer to the holiday for any minor shifts in rain probability or temperatures, but overall, the outlook is promising for outdoor plans.
Will You Be Enjoying an Outdoor Thanksgiving in Memphis?
Are you planning to cook, travel, or celebrate outdoors this year? Share your plans and tips with fellow readers in the comments below!









