Orlando, Florida – After tornado warnings were issued for Flagler County on Thursday afternoon and later allowed to expire, forecasters say stormy and soggy conditions will continue into the holiday weekend, bringing an increased risk of flooding and strong storms across Central Florida.
Thursday Forecast
Isolated showers are expected to form near the coast early Thursday, gradually spreading inland with the sea breeze through the afternoon and evening. Rain coverage will return to a 50–60% chance, producing hit-or-miss storms.
Weather impacts may include:
- Frequent lightning
- Gusty winds up to 50 mph
- Heavy downpours dropping 1–3 inches of rain quickly
- A chance of small hail in stronger storms
By Thursday evening, storms will drift back toward the coast and are expected to move offshore around midnight as per reports.
Friday Through the Weekend
A mix of deep tropical moisture and a stalled front will fuel multiple rounds of storms through the weekend. Rain chances increase to 70–80% areawide, with the potential for:
- Heavy rainfall
- Frequent lightning
- Localized flooding due to repeated storms over the same areas
Some areas could see 2–4 inches of rainfall by the end of the weekend, particularly where multiple storm cells overlap.
Flooding Concerns
- Saturday and Sunday will see the greatest flood risk as soils become saturated.
- The St. Johns River communities, including Astor, should remain on alert for rising water levels.
- A Marginal Risk for excessive rainfall is already in place for most of Central Florida.
Next Week Outlook
The unsettled pattern is forecast to continue into early next week. Rain chances will remain high at 70–80% through Tuesday. By midweek, the stalled front is expected to slowly drift south, which may allow slightly drier air to move in by Wednesday or Thursday.
Safety Tips for Residents
With a busy holiday weekend approaching, forecasters are urging residents and visitors to remain weather-aware. Officials stress the importance of taking precautions:
- Seek shelter when thunder is heard: “When thunder roars, go indoors.”
- Avoid driving through flooded roadways.
- Have an alternate plan for outdoor events, as storms may form quickly and intensely.
Broader Holiday Impact
While the weekend will not be a complete washout, weather experts warn that heavy and fast-moving downpours could disrupt outdoor activities. Travelers and families planning to celebrate should monitor forecasts closely and prepare for sudden weather shifts.
Share Your Thoughts
How are you preparing for the stormy holiday weekend in Central Florida? Do you plan to adjust your outdoor activities, or will you stick to your original plans? Share your thoughts in the comments below.














