Houston Weather Rollercoaster: Storm Chances Rise Before a Refreshing Thanksgiving Cool-Down

Houston, TX — Houstonians can expect a rollercoaster of weather as a weakening cold front inches toward the region, bringing periods of stormy conditions before a refreshing cool-down just in time for the Thanksgiving week.

While the metro continues to battle near-record heat for the third consecutive day, forecasters say relief is finally on the horizon.

Storm Chances Increase Heading Into Friday

A gradually fading cold front is moving toward Southeast Texas, offering the first real shot at widespread rain in weeks. Early Friday morning, scattered storms are expected to develop across the Brazos Valley, drifting toward the Houston metro by the afternoon.

Meteorologists note that while these storms may weaken before reaching most neighborhoods, the atmosphere still supports isolated strong thunderstorms capable of localized heavy downpours. These will be more “hit-or-miss” in nature, but any rainfall is welcome given the region’s current dry streak.

As the front slows and eventually stalls, the area could see another wave of showers and thunderstorms late Friday night into Saturday morning. Residents should stay weather-aware during this timeframe, especially with the potential for brief but intense cells.

Thanksgiving Travel Outlook: Stronger Cold Front Arriving

Looking ahead to the holiday week, a stronger and more dynamic cold front is expected to sweep across Texas on Monday. This incoming system will bring:

• A higher likelihood of strong thunderstorms
• Widespread rainfall, much-needed across the parched region
• Potential travel delays across major routes statewide

Travelers heading out early for Thanksgiving should keep a close eye on forecasts, particularly on Sunday and Monday, when activity will be highest.

Weekend Weather: Rain Chances Stay Alive

Before that stronger front arrives, Southeast Texas will continue to see intermittent rain chances through Sunday. Another round of moisture is expected Sunday into Monday ahead of the front’s passage, keeping skies unsettled but temperatures above normal for late November.

Despite the rain, daytime highs will linger well above seasonal averages until the front passes. But don’t worry — the fall vibes are coming back.

Fall Weather Returns Next Week

Starting Tuesday, Houston finally gets a taste of cooler and more comfortable weather. Forecast models show:

• Morning lows dipping into the mid-50s
• Afternoon highs settling into the 60s and low 70s
• Drier, crisper air filtering across the region

After weeks of heat and humidity, many residents will welcome the shift toward more traditional fall temperatures.

Thanksgiving Week Looks Beautiful

The good news? Once the Monday storms clear out, the rest of the Thanksgiving week looks spectacular. Perfect for cooking, traveling, or enjoying outdoor gatherings. Sunshine, cooler air, and light breezes will define the second half of the week.

So while Houston will have to dodge a few thunderstorms before the holiday, the payoff looks well worth it.

Are you worried about the stormy start to the week, or are you excited for the cooler temperatures ahead? Drop your thoughts, plans, or weather experiences in the comments — Houstonians love comparing forecasts!